Burgos vs Valencia Prediction: Valencia will likely defeat Burgos 2-1 in the Copa del Rey round of 16 match on Thursday, January 16, 2025, as the La Liga side’s superior individual quality and eight-time cup-winning experience should overcome the Segunda Division hosts despite Burgos’s recent 3-1 victory over Getafe and strong home form at Estadio El Plantio.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Copa del Rey – Round of 16 |
| Date | Thursday, January 16, 2025 |
| Venue | Estadio El Plantio, Burgos |
| Burgos League Position | 8th in Segunda Division |
| Valencia League Position | 18th in La Liga (one point from safety) |
| Burgos Recent Form | W-L-D-W-W |
| Valencia Recent Form | D-L-D-W-L |
Key Facts
- Burgos eliminated La Liga side Getafe 3-1 in the previous round, marking their second-ever appearance in the Copa del Rey round of 16.
- Valencia sits 18th in La Liga and faces a relegation battle while seeking cup success.
- Burgos remains unbeaten in their last three home matches across all competitions with two wins and one draw.
- Valencia has won only once in regulation time across their last eight matches in all competitions.
- The Segunda Division hosts sit just two points off the playoff places in Spain’s second tier.
- Valencia has reached the Copa del Rey quarter-finals three times in the last four campaigns.
- Burgos forward Inigo Cordoba scored twice against Getafe and netted the winner against Eibar last weekend.
- Valencia defender Mouctar Diakhaby and goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala will miss the match due to muscle injuries.
On This Page
Burgos vs Valencia Preview and Prediction
Burgos enters this Copa del Rey encounter with renewed confidence after their impressive 3-1 victory over Getafe in the previous round.
The Segunda Division side demonstrated their ability to compete against top-flight opposition when David Gonzalez Ballesteros equalized before Inigo Cordoba’s second-half brace sealed the win.
This achievement matched their greatest Copa del Rey run, last accomplished in the 1972-73 season.
Valencia arrives at Estadio El Plantio in contrasting circumstances. The eight-time Copa del Rey champions currently battle relegation in La Liga, sitting 18th with just one point separating them from the drop zone.
Carlos Corberan’s squad has struggled for consistency, failing to win any of their last six league matches.
Their most recent outing saw them salvage a 1-1 draw against Elche thanks to a late Pepelu equalizer.
The cup competition has provided Valencia with occasional relief from their league struggles.
They defeated Cartagena, Maracena, and Sporting Gijon to reach this stage, though the 2-0 victory over Gijon on December 16 remains their only win in regulation time across their last eight matches.
Predicted Burgos vs Valencia Lineups and Formation
Burgos Predicted XI (4-4-2): Ruiz; Lizancos, A Cordoba, Grego, Miguel; I Cordoba, Atienza, Cantero, D Gonzalez; Nino, M Gonzalez
Valencia Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Dimitrievski; Foulquier, Tarrega, Copete, Vazquez; Pepelu, Guerra; Lopez, Raba, Ramazani; Beltran
Luis Miguel Ramis will likely deploy Burgos in their familiar 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing width and direct attacking play.
Inigo Cordoba’s recent form makes him central to their attacking plans, operating from the left midfield position.
Valencia manager Carlos Corberan may opt for a 4-2-3-1 system, providing defensive stability through Pepelu and Guerra while allowing attacking freedom for the front four.
Dani Raba could return to the starting lineup after being unused in the last three matches, offering creativity behind striker Lucas Beltran. New signing Umar Sadiq presents an alternative option up front.
Injuries and Team News
Burgos Injuries
Central midfielder Kevin Appin remains doubtful after missing the last four matches through injury.
Right-back Alex Lizancos returns to contention after serving a one-match suspension for accumulated bookings in the league.
Valencia Injuries
Defender Thierry Correia faces uncertainty after being substituted during the Elche draw.
Defender Mouctar Diakhaby will miss the match due to a muscle injury. First-choice goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala also remains sidelined with a muscle problem, meaning Stole Dimitrievski will continue between the posts.
The absence of Agirrezabala represents a significant blow for Valencia, as goalkeeper stability has been crucial during their difficult season.
Dimitrievski must maintain his concentration against a Burgos side that has shown attacking threat at home.
Team Form and Recent Results
Burgos Recent Matches
- January 10: Burgos 1-0 Eibar (Segunda Division) – Win
- January 4: Cordoba 2-0 Burgos (Segunda Division) – Loss
- December 21: Burgos 1-1 Zaragoza (Segunda Division) – Draw
- December 18: Burgos 3-1 Getafe (Copa del Rey) – Win
- December 14: Almeria 1-2 Burgos (Segunda Division) – Win
Valencia Recent Matches
- January 11: Valencia 1-1 Elche (La Liga) – Draw
- January 3: Celta Vigo 4-1 Valencia (La Liga) – Loss
- December 20: Valencia 1-1 Mallorca (La Liga) – Draw
- December 17: Gijon 0-2 Valencia (Copa del Rey) – Win
- December 13: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia (La Liga) – Loss
Tactical Analysis
Burgos relies on energetic pressing and quick transitions. Their home advantage at Estadio El Plantio has proven valuable, with the crowd providing additional motivation.
The hosts will look to exploit Valencia’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on the counter-attack where Inigo Cordoba’s pace and directness can cause problems.
Valencia must balance defensive solidity with attacking intent. Their struggles converting performances into victories suggest issues with final-third execution.
Corberan will demand improved concentration throughout the 90 minutes, as lapses have cost them points in La Liga.
The midfield duo of Pepelu and Guerra must control tempo and provide protection for a defense that has conceded regularly.
Key Players to Watch
Inigo Cordoba (Burgos)
The forward has delivered in crucial moments, scoring twice against Getafe and netting the winner against Eibar.
His movement between the lines and finishing ability make him Burgos’s primary attacking threat.
Pepelu (Valencia)
The midfielder’s late equalizer against Elche demonstrated his importance to Valencia.
His set-piece delivery and ability to dictate play from deep positions will be vital in controlling the match.
Lucas Beltran (Valencia)
The striker must provide the focal point for Valencia’s attack. His hold-up play and link-up with supporting runners will determine whether Valencia can create clear chances.
Where to Watch Live?
The match will be broadcast across multiple regions. In Spain, Movistar+ and M+ LALIGA TV 2 will show the game.
International viewers can access the match through various broadcasters including ESPN Select and ESPN App in the USA, FanCode in India, DAZN in multiple European countries, and Sport TV6 in Portugal. Bet365 offers streaming for eligible customers internationally.
Current Standings
Segunda Division (Burgos)
Burgos sits 8th in Spain’s second tier, two points away from the playoff positions. Their recent form has been encouraging, with three wins in their last five league matches.
La Liga (Valencia)
Valencia occupies 18th position, one point from safety. Their winless run of six league matches has intensified relegation concerns, making cup success increasingly important for morale.
Head-to-Head Analysis
No previous competitive meetings exist between these clubs, making this a historic first encounter.
The absence of head-to-head data means both teams approach the match without psychological advantages from past results.
Burgos vs Valencia Prediction
Burgos has demonstrated their capability to compete with La Liga opposition through their Getafe victory.
Their home form and recent momentum provide genuine hope of another upset.
However, Valencia’s pedigree in the Copa del Rey and superior individual quality should prove decisive in a closely contested match.
The visitors’ experience in navigating cup competitions and their need for positive results to boost confidence may edge them through.
Valencia’s 2-1 victory appears the most likely outcome, though Burgos will make them work for progression to the quarter-finals.
Read all Soccer Predictions.
Statistical Analysis
Valencia has won the Copa del Rey eight times, establishing themselves as one of Spain’s most successful cup teams.
Their recent record of reaching three quarter-finals in four campaigns demonstrates consistent performance in this competition despite league struggles.
Burgos’s cup journey this season required extra time victories over Atletico Tordesillas and Real Zaragoza before their breakthrough against Getafe.
Their ability to perform in high-pressure situations has been tested repeatedly, building resilience that could serve them well against Valencia.
The match represents a significant opportunity for both clubs.
Burgos can write another chapter in their history by eliminating a second La Liga opponent, while Valencia desperately needs positive momentum to address their league position.
The Copa del Rey provides Valencia with their best chance of silverware this season, adding extra significance to this round-of-16 encounter at Estadio El Plantio.
FAQs
Where To Watch Burgos vs Valencia Live?
Fans can watch Burgos vs Valencia live on Movistar+ and M+ LALIGA TV 2 in Spain, ESPN Select and ESPN App in the USA, FanCode in India, DAZN across multiple European countries including Germany, France, Italy, Austria, and Switzerland, Sport TV6 in Portugal, and Bet365 streaming service for eligible customers internationally on Thursday, January 16, 2025.
Who Will Win Burgos vs Valencia Match?
Valencia will likely win the Burgos vs Valencia Copa del Rey round of 16 match because the eight-time cup champions possess superior individual quality, greater tactical experience against top-tier opposition, and stronger squad depth despite their current La Liga relegation struggles, while Burgos lacks consistent firepower beyond Inigo Cordoba and faces a significant step up in competition quality compared to their 3-1 Getafe victory.
What is Burgos vs Valencia Match Kick-Off Time?
The Burgos vs Valencia Copa del Rey round of 16 match kicks off on Thursday evening, January 16, 2025, at Estadio El Plantio in Burgos, Spain, though the exact kick-off time varies by broadcast region and timezone.
Are There Any Injuries in Burgos vs Valencia Match?
Valencia faces significant injury problems as first-choice goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala and defender Mouctar Diakhaby miss the match with muscle injuries while defender Thierry Correia remains doubtful after his substitution against Elche, whereas Burgos has only central midfielder Kevin Appin doubtful after missing four consecutive matches through injury, giving the Segunda Division hosts a healthier squad for the Copa del Rey clash.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For Burgos vs Valencia Match?
The predicted correct score for Burgos vs Valencia is 1-2 in favor of Valencia, as the La Liga side’s cup experience and individual quality should secure a narrow victory despite Burgos’s strong home record of three unbeaten matches at Estadio El Plantio, with Inigo Cordoba likely scoring for the hosts before Valencia’s superior attacking options including Lucas Beltran and potential returnee Dani Raba complete the comeback.
Valencia Standing with Points?
Valencia currently sits in 18th position in the La Liga standings with one point separating them from the relegation zone after failing to win any of their last six league matches, including four draws and two losses, which has created a serious relegation battle for the eight-time Copa del Rey champions under manager Carlos Corberan.
Burgos Standing With Points?
Burgos occupies 8th position in the Segunda Division standings, sitting just two points away from the playoff places after winning three of their last five league matches, including a crucial 1-0 home victory over Eibar on January 10, 2025, which demonstrates their strong push for promotion under manager Luis Miguel Ramis.