Everton vs Burnley Prediction: Everton will defeat Burnley 3-1 at Hill Dickinson Stadium on March 3, 2026, as the Toffees capitalize on their recent 3-2 away victory at Newcastle United while Burnley’s defensive struggles continue with zero away clean sheets this Premier League season.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League – Gameweek 29 |
| Date | Tuesday, March 3, 2026 (Wednesday, March 4, 2026 in some regions) |
| Kick-off Time | 7:30 PM GMT / 1:00 AM local time |
| Venue | Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool |
| Current Form | Everton: W-L-L-W-D / Burnley: L-D-W-L-D-L |
| League Position | Everton: 8th (40 points) / Burnley: 19th (19 points) |
Key Facts
- Everton secured a dramatic 3-2 victory at Newcastle United on February 28, 2026, ending their two-game losing streak in the Premier League.
- Burnley suffered heartbreak in a 4-3 defeat against Brentford on February 28, 2026, despite mounting two separate comeback attempts.
- The Toffees struggle at home with no wins in their last seven matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium, recording five losses and two draws.
- Everton excel on the road with 14 points collected from the last 18 available away from home.
- Burnley remain winless away from home in clean sheet terms, failing to keep a single Premier League away clean sheet this season.
- The December encounter ended goalless when Burnley held Everton to a 0-0 draw at Turf Moor on December 27, 2025.
- Jordan Pickford produced a world-class save against Newcastle, tipping Sandro Tonali’s powerful volley onto the crossbar.
- Burnley sit in the relegation zone with only 19 points from 28 matches, six points clear of bottom-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers.
On This Page
Everton vs Burnley Preview
David Moyes brings his Everton side into this crucial midweek fixture riding high on confidence after their stunning comeback victory at St James’ Park.
The Toffees demonstrated remarkable resilience against Newcastle, with Thierno Barry’s scrappy late finish securing all three points.
Jarrad Branthwaite and Beto also found the net as Everton twice recovered from deficit positions.
Scott Parker’s Burnley experienced contrasting emotions during their seven-goal thriller against Brentford.
The Clarets trailed 3-0 before mounting an incredible fightback to level at 3-3, then took a 4-3 lead, only to concede again.
They thought they had completed a remarkable turnaround when they scored what appeared to be a winning goal, but VAR ruled it out for offside.
Another potential equalizer was disallowed after a lengthy handball check, leaving Parker’s men devastated.
The tactical battle presents an intriguing contrast. Everton possess quality throughout their squad and sit comfortably in eighth position, just five points behind sixth-placed Chelsea.
Burnley desperately need points to escape the relegation zone, with Wolves closing the gap to six points after their recent resurgence.
Predicted Everton vs Burnley Lineups and Formations
Everton (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
Defense: Seamus O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitalii Mykolenko
Midfield: James Garner, Idrissa Gueye
Attacking Midfield: Dwight McNeil, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye
Forward: Thierno Barry
David Moyes faces a selection dilemma between Beto and Thierno Barry for the striker position.
Barry’s match-winning contribution at Newcastle gives him the edge, particularly considering the quick turnaround between fixtures.
The 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive stability while allowing creative freedom for the attacking trio behind the striker.
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
Defense: Bashir Humphreys, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires
Midfield: Lesley Ugochukwu, James Ward-Prowse
Attacking Midfield: Hannibal Mejbri, Lyle Foster, Jaidon Anthony
Forward: Zian Flemming
Scott Parker made impactful half-time substitutions against Brentford, introducing Lyle Foster and Lesley Ugochukwu.
Both players could earn starting positions after their contributions sparked the comeback attempt.
Ward-Prowse provides set-piece expertise and midfield control, which will prove crucial against Everton’s physical presence.
Injury Report
Everton Injuries
Ruled Out:
- Jack Grealish – Foot injury requiring surgery, season-ending
- Carlos Alcaraz – Training injury, expected absence of 3-4 weeks
Available:
- Mark Travers – Returned from finger injury, available as backup goalkeeper
The Toffees enter this fixture with a relatively healthy squad. Grealish’s season-ending foot surgery represents a significant blow to their attacking options, while Alcaraz’s recent training injury removes another midfield alternative.
However, Moyes can field his strongest available eleven without major concerns.
Burnley Injuries
Ruled Out:
- Josh Cullen – Knee injury
- Connor Roberts – Calf injury
- Zeki Amdouni – Knee injury
- Axel Tuanzebe – Calf injury
- Armando Broja – Ankle injury
- Jordan Beyer – Hamstring injury
- Mike Tresor – Ankle injury
Returned:
- Lyle Foster – Recovered from illness, made second-half appearance against Brentford
Burnley’s injury crisis continues to hamper their survival efforts. Seven players remain unavailable, significantly limiting Parker’s tactical options.
The absence of Cullen in midfield and Roberts at right-back particularly weakens their structure. Foster’s return provides a much-needed boost to their attacking threat.
Key Injuries That Could Shift the Game
Burnley’s extensive injury list severely restricts their tactical flexibility. The absence of Josh Cullen removes their primary midfield anchor, forcing Ward-Prowse into a deeper role.
Connor Roberts’ unavailability at right-back creates defensive vulnerability that Everton’s left-sided attackers can exploit.
For Everton, losing Grealish for the season removes a creative outlet, though their squad depth allows them to compensate.
The quick turnaround between matches poses rotation challenges, but Moyes possesses sufficient quality to maintain performance levels.
Where to Watch Live?
United Kingdom: TNT Sports 3, discovery+, discovery+ App
United States: Peacock
India: JioHotstar
Canada: DAZN Canada, fuboTV Canada, Fubo Sports Network 3 Canada
Australia: Stan Sport
Germany/Austria: Sky Sport 2/HD, Sky Go
Spain: DAZN Spain
Portugal: DAZN Portugal
Brazil: Disney+ Premium Brazil
Argentina: ESPN2 Argentina, Disney+ Premium Argentina
Head-to-Head Analysis
The recent history between these sides shows Everton’s dominance.
Their most recent meeting on December 27, 2025, ended in a goalless draw at Turf Moor, snapping Burnley’s three-match losing streak against the Toffees.
Last Five Meetings:
- December 27, 2025: Burnley 0-0 Everton (Premier League)
- April 6, 2024: Everton 1-0 Burnley (Premier League)
- December 16, 2023: Burnley 0-2 Everton (Premier League)
- November 2, 2023: Everton 3-0 Burnley (EFL Cup)
- April 7, 2022: Burnley 3-2 Everton (Premier League)
Everton have won three of the last five encounters, with Burnley claiming just one victory. The Toffees scored 10 goals across these fixtures while conceding five, demonstrating their attacking superiority in this matchup.
Statistical Analysis
Everton’s Form:
- Last five Premier League matches: W-D-L-L-W
- Goals scored: 7 / Goals conceded: 7
- Home record: 0 wins in last 7 at Hill Dickinson Stadium
- Away record: 14 points from last 18 available
Burnley’s Form:
- Last five Premier League matches: L-L-D-W-L
- Goals scored: 10 / Goals conceded: 13
- Away clean sheets: 0 in 14 Premier League away matches
- Recent defensive record: Conceded 2+ goals in 6 of last 7 matches
League Standings Context:
Everton occupy eighth position with 40 points from 28 matches, level on points with ninth-placed Fulham but ahead on goal difference. They trail sixth-placed Chelsea by five points, keeping European qualification hopes alive.
Burnley languish in 19th position with just 19 points from 28 matches. They sit six points above bottom-placed Wolves but face an uphill battle for survival. Their goal difference of -24 reflects their defensive struggles throughout the campaign.
Tactical Analysis
Everton’s 4-2-3-1 formation provides defensive solidity through the Garner-Gueye partnership while unleashing attacking talent.
McNeil and Ndiaye operate as inverted wingers, cutting inside to create shooting opportunities.
Dewsbury-Hall’s box-to-box energy connects defense and attack effectively.
Burnley’s approach mirrors Everton’s shape but lacks the same quality in execution.
Ward-Prowse’s set-piece delivery represents their primary creative weapon. Foster’s return adds physical presence and hold-up play, allowing runners from midfield to exploit spaces.
The key tactical battle occurs in midfield. Everton’s double pivot should dominate possession and territory, forcing Burnley into defensive blocks.
The Clarets must remain compact and exploit transition moments through Foster’s pace and Anthony’s dribbling ability.
Key Players to Watch
Jordan Pickford (Everton)
The England goalkeeper produced a spectacular save against Newcastle that preserved three points. His shot-stopping ability and distribution quality make him invaluable to Everton’s build-up play.
Thierno Barry (Everton)
The striker’s match-winning goal at Newcastle demonstrated his predatory instincts. His movement and finishing could prove decisive against Burnley’s vulnerable defense.
James Ward-Prowse (Burnley)
The midfielder’s set-piece expertise offers Burnley their best route to goal. His delivery quality and leadership experience will prove crucial in this relegation battle.
Lyle Foster (Burnley)
The striker’s return from illness provides a significant boost. His physical presence and work rate can unsettle Everton’s center-backs and create opportunities for teammates.
Everton vs Burnley Prediction
Everton enter this fixture as clear favorites despite their home struggles. Their superior squad quality, recent away form, and Burnley’s defensive fragility suggest a home victory.
The Toffees should capitalize on their attacking momentum from Newcastle while exploiting the visitors’ injury-depleted squad.
Burnley will fight desperately for survival points, but their inability to keep clean sheets away from home undermines their chances. Expect Everton to break their Hill Dickinson Stadium drought with a convincing performance.
Predicted Score: Everton 3-1 Burnley
The home side should overcome their stadium mental block against relegation-threatened opposition, securing three vital points in their pursuit of European qualification.
Also Read Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction.
FAQs
Where To Watch Everton vs Burnley Live?
Fans can watch Everton vs Burnley live on TNT Sports 3 and discovery+ in the United Kingdom, Peacock in the United States, JioHotstar in India, DAZN Canada in Canada, and Stan Sport in Australia on March 3, 2026.
Who Will Win Everton vs Burnley Match?
Everton will win the match against Burnley based on their superior league position in eighth place with 40 points, recent 3-2 victory at Newcastle United, and Burnley’s defensive crisis that has seen them concede two or more goals in six of their last seven matches across all competitions.
What is Everton vs Burnley Match Kick-Off Time?
The Everton vs Burnley Premier League match kicks off at 7:30 PM GMT on Tuesday, March 3, 2026 (1:00 AM on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 in some time zones) at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool for Gameweek 29.
Are There Any Injuries in Everton vs Burnley Match?
Burnley face seven injury absences including Josh Cullen (knee), Connor Roberts (calf), Zeki Amdouni (knee), Axel Tuanzebe (calf), Armando Broja (ankle), Jordan Beyer (hamstring), and Mike Tresor (ankle), while Everton miss Jack Grealish with a season-ending foot injury and Carlos Alcaraz for 3-4 weeks with a training injury.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For Everton vs Burnley Match?
The predicted score is Everton 3-1 Burnley as the Toffees exploit Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities that have resulted in zero away clean sheets this season while building on their attacking momentum from scoring seven goals in their last five Premier League matches.
Burnley Standing with Points?
Burnley sit in 19th position in the Premier League relegation zone with 19 points from 28 matches, recording 4 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses with a goal difference of -24 (32 goals scored, 56 conceded), placing them six points above bottom-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Everton Standing With Points?
Everton occupy 8th position in the Premier League table with 40 points from 28 matches, achieving 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with a goal difference of -1 (32 goals scored, 33 conceded), sitting five points behind sixth-placed Chelsea in the race for European qualification.
