Fiorentina vs Como Prediction: Como will defeat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Coppa Italia last-16 match on January 28, 2026, as the visitors carry superior form with six goals scored against Torino in their last match while Fiorentina struggles in the Serie A relegation zone with defensive vulnerabilities and key striker Moise Kean sidelined due to an ankle injury.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Coppa Italia Round of 16 |
| Date | Wednesday, January 28, 2026 |
| Kickoff Time | 1:30 AM (Local Time) |
| Venue | Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence |
| Prize | Quarter-final tie against Napoli |
| Referee | To be confirmed |
Key Facts
- Fiorentina currently sits in the Serie A relegation zone despite recent improvements in form.
- Como arrives at Stadio Franchi riding a wave of momentum with two emphatic victories in their last two matches.
- The visitors defeated Fiorentina 2-1 in September’s league fixture at the same venue.
- Como scored six goals against Torino in their most recent Serie A match.
- Fiorentina lost 2-1 to Cagliari at home on Saturday, ending their positive run.
- Como has won maximum points from both visits to Florence this season.
- The winner advances to face Napoli in the quarter-finals.
- Fiorentina enters this match with European commitments looming against Jagiellonia Bialystok.
- Como remains unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions.
- Both teams defeated their previous Coppa Italia opponents by comfortable margins.
On This Page
Fiorentina vs Como Preview and Prediction
Fiorentina faces Como in a Coppa Italia last-16 encounter that pits two teams traveling in opposite directions.
The Viola struggles to escape the Serie A drop zone while Como chases European qualification in their first season back in the top flight.
Paolo Vanoli’s Fiorentina side showed signs of recovery at the start of 2026, collecting positive results that offered hope of climbing away from danger.
However, Saturday’s 2-1 home defeat to fellow relegation battlers Cagliari represented a significant setback.
The Viola conceded twice on the counter-attack before Marco Brescianini pulled one back, but they could not find an equalizer despite late pressure.
The defeat leaves Fiorentina stuck inside the bottom three positions with limited time to turn their season around.
The six-time Coppa Italia winners now face a challenging period with knockout football in both domestic and European competitions.
Before their Conference League playoff against Jagiellonia Bialystok, they must navigate this tricky cup tie against one of Serie A’s form teams.
Como arrives in Tuscany brimming with confidence after demolishing Torino 6-0 at the weekend.
That victory followed a 3-0 away triumph over Lazio, demonstrating the Lariani’s ability to compete against established Serie A sides.
Cesc Fabregas has transformed the modest Lombardy club into genuine contenders for European qualification, something Como has never achieved in their history.
The visitors have already proven they can win at Stadio Franchi this season, securing a dramatic 2-1 victory in September’s league meeting.
Their free-scoring attack has found the net consistently, with Tasos Douvikas and Nico Paz sharing top-scorer honors.
Martin Baturina continues his impressive form, adding creativity from midfield.
Team Injuries and Availability
Fiorentina Injury List
Moise Kean – The striker remains sidelined with an ankle problem that has kept him out of recent matches. His absence removes Fiorentina’s primary goal threat.
Fabiano Parisi – The left-back picked up an injury and missed the Cagliari match. Manor Solomon replaced him in the starting lineup.
Tariq Lamptey – The wing-back continues his long-term absence and will not feature against Como.
Edin Dzeko – The veteran forward has departed the club, further reducing Fiorentina’s attacking options.
Como Injury List
Assane Diao – The winger remains unavailable for selection.
Alvaro Morata – The experienced striker continues his recovery and will miss this match.
Edoardo Goldaniga – The defender stays on the sidelines with his ongoing injury.
Jayden Addai – Returned to the bench against Torino, suggesting he nears full fitness.
Key Injuries That Could Shift the Game
Moise Kean’s absence represents the most significant injury concern for Fiorentina.
The Italian striker has carried the team’s attacking burden this season, and his unavailability forces Roberto Piccoli into the lone striker role.
Piccoli lacks Kean’s physical presence and goal-scoring instinct, which could prove decisive against Como’s organized defense.
For Como, Alvaro Morata’s continued absence removes a veteran presence from their attack. However, Fabregas has managed without the Spanish forward effectively, with Douvikas stepping up to fill the void. The potential return of Jayden Addai provides additional depth, though he may not start after his recent injury layoff.
Tactical Analysis
Fiorentina typically deploys a 3-4-2-1 formation under Vanoli, emphasizing width through wing-backs and creativity from attacking midfielders.
However, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed repeatedly, particularly on the counter-attack.
The Cagliari defeat highlighted these issues, with the Viola caught out of position multiple times.
Como operates with tactical flexibility under Fabregas, switching between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 formations depending on the opposition.
Their possession-based approach focuses on building from the back and creating overloads in wide areas.
Baturina operates as the creative hub, while Paz provides goal-scoring threat from advanced positions.
The tactical battle centers on whether Fiorentina can contain Como’s fluid attacking movement.
The visitors excel at quick transitions and exploiting space behind opposition defenses, exactly the weakness Cagliari exposed in Fiorentina’s recent defeat.
Expected Fiorentina vs Como Lineups and Formations
Fiorentina Predicted XI (3-4-2-1)
Goalkeeper: De Gea
Defense: Kouadio, Pongracic, Ranieri
Midfield: Fortini, Mandragora, Nicolussi Caviglia, Solomon
Attack: Brescianini, Harrison, Piccoli
Vanoli will likely rotate his squad given the upcoming fixtures.
Recent signings Manor Solomon, Jack Harrison, Giovanni Fabbian, and Marco Brescianini could all feature, providing fresh legs and different tactical options.
Como Predicted XI (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Butez
Defense: Van Der Brempt, Carlos, Ramon, Moreno
Midfield: Caqueret, Da Cunha
Attack: Kuhn, Baturina, Addai, Rodriguez
Fabregas possesses squad depth that allows rotation without sacrificing quality.
Nico Paz and Tasos Douvikas may rest ahead of crucial league fixtures against AC Milan, Juventus, and Atalanta.
Nico Kuhn, whose minutes have been limited since arriving from Celtic, could start alongside Spanish veterans Sergi Roberto and Alberto Moreno.
Key Players to Watch
Martin Baturina (Como)
The Croatian midfielder has emerged as Como’s creative force, dictating tempo and creating chances. His ability to find space between lines could unlock Fiorentina’s defense.
Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)
The recent signing showed promise against Cagliari, scoring and nearly adding another.
His energy and technical ability provide Fiorentina with a different dimension in midfield.
Nico Kuhn (Como)
If selected, the former Celtic winger brings pace and directness that could trouble Fiorentina’s wing-backs. His limited playing time means he arrives fresh and motivated.
Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)
The striker carries the burden of replacing Moise Kean. His movement and finishing will determine whether Fiorentina can threaten Como’s goal.
Head-to-Head Analysis
The recent history between these clubs heavily favors Como. In their last five meetings:
- September 2025: Fiorentina 1-2 Como (Serie A)
- February 2025: Fiorentina 0-2 Como (Serie A)
- November 2024: Como 0-2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
- August 2022: Fiorentina 3-0 Como (Coppa Italia)
- March 2004: Como 0-2 Fiorentina (Serie B)
Como has won both fixtures at Stadio Franchi this season, demonstrating their ability to perform at this venue.
Fiorentina’s last victory over Como came in November 2024, but their recent struggles suggest they face an uphill battle.
Current Standings
Serie A Table
Como: 10th position with strong form, competing for European qualification spots
Fiorentina: 18th position (relegation zone) with 20 points from 21 matches
The contrasting league positions reflect the divergent trajectories of both clubs. Como’s ambition to reach Europe drives their performances, while Fiorentina battles to preserve their Serie A status.
Where to Watch Live
The match broadcasts globally across multiple platforms:
Italy: Italia 1, Mediaset Infinity
United Kingdom & Ireland: Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
United States: Paramount+, CBS Sports Golazo
Canada: DAZN Canada, fuboTV Canada
International: YouTube (select regions), Bet365 (streaming service)
Kickoff times vary by region, with the match scheduled for 1:30 AM local time in Italy.
Statistical Deep Dive
Como’s recent form shows remarkable consistency. They have scored 12 goals in their last three matches while conceding just one.
Their 6-0 demolition of Torino matched their earlier 5-1 victory over the same opponents, demonstrating their ability to dominate weaker opposition.
Fiorentina’s home record presents major concerns. They have lost multiple matches at Stadio Franchi this season, including defeats to relegation rivals.
Their defensive record shows vulnerability to counter-attacks, exactly Como’s strength.
Como has lost just three of 11 away matches this season, collecting points at difficult venues.
Their road form suggests they travel without fear, making them dangerous opponents for struggling home teams.
Fiorentina vs Como Prediction
Como enters this match as favorites based on current form, head-to-head record, and tactical superiority.
Fiorentina’s injury problems and defensive vulnerabilities create opportunities for the visitors’ fluid attack.
The Viola’s divided focus between Serie A survival, Conference League commitments, and domestic cup competition may lead to squad rotation that weakens their starting eleven.
Como’s depth allows Fabregas to rotate without significant quality drop-off. Their confidence from recent victories and proven ability to win at Stadio Franchi this season positions them strongly.
Fiorentina will fight for pride and the chance to face Napoli in the quarter-finals, but their current crisis makes victory unlikely.
Expected Result: Fiorentina 1-2 Como
The visitors should advance to the quarter-finals, continuing their impressive debut season back in Serie A while Fiorentina focuses on their more pressing relegation battle.
Read all Football Predictions.
FAQs
Where To Watch Fiorentina vs Como Live?
Fans can watch Fiorentina vs Como live on Italia 1 and Mediaset Infinity in Italy, Premier Sports 1 in the United Kingdom, Paramount+ in the United States, and DAZN Canada in Canada, with the Coppa Italia last-16 match broadcasting across over 80 countries through official rights holders on January 28, 2026.
Who Will Win Fiorentina vs Como Match?
Como will win the Fiorentina vs Como match based on their superior current form with 12 goals scored in three matches, two consecutive victories at Stadio Franchi this season, and Fiorentina’s defensive struggles that saw them concede twice on counter-attacks against Cagliari while sitting in the Serie A relegation zone.
What is Fiorentina vs Como Match Kick-Off Time?
The Fiorentina vs Como match kicks off at 1:30 AM local time on Wednesday, January 28, 2026, at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence for the Coppa Italia Round of 16, with the winner advancing to face Napoli in the quarter-finals.
Are There Any Injuries in Fiorentina vs Como Match?
Fiorentina faces significant injuries with striker Moise Kean sidelined due to an ankle problem, left-back Fabiano Parisi injured, and wing-back Tariq Lamptey on long-term absence, while Como misses forwards Alvaro Morata and Assane Diao plus defender Edoardo Goldaniga, though Jayden Addai returned to the bench against Torino.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For Fiorentina vs Como Match?
The predicted score for Fiorentina vs Como is 1-2 in favor of Como, as the visitors demonstrate attacking prowess with 12 goals in their last three matches while Fiorentina struggles defensively at home and lacks key striker Moise Kean, making Como favorites to advance to the Coppa Italia quarter-finals.
Como Standing with Points?
Como currently sits in 10th position in the Serie A standings with strong form that includes a 6-0 victory over Torino and a 3-0 win at Lazio, positioning the promoted club as genuine contenders for European qualification in their first season back in Italy’s top flight.
Fiorentina Standing With Points?
Fiorentina occupies 18th position in the Serie A relegation zone with 20 points from 21 matches, following a damaging 2-1 home defeat to fellow strugglers Cagliari on January 24, 2026, which ended their brief positive run and left them fighting to preserve their top-flight status.