Lazio vs Genoa Prediction: Lazio and Genoa will likely draw 1-1 at Stadio Olimpico on Friday, January 31, 2026, as Lazio’s home struggles and squad crisis meet Genoa’s improved defensive organization under Daniele De Rossi, with both teams desperate for points in Serie A’s mid-table battle.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Serie A – Matchweek 23 |
| Date | Friday, January 31, 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 1:15 AM (varies by timezone) |
| Venue | Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
| Referee | To be confirmed |
| Current Form | Lazio: D-L-D-W-L / Genoa: W-D-W-D-D |
Key Facts
- Lazio currently sits in 9th position with 29 points from 22 matches, while Genoa occupies 13th place with 23 points.
- The two teams are separated by just six points heading into this Friday evening clash.
- Lazio remains unbeaten at home against Genoa in their last seven meetings at Stadio Olimpico.
- Genoa has not scored in their last four Serie A encounters against Lazio, losing all four matches.
- Maurizio Sarri openly criticized his Lazio squad after a disappointing 0-0 draw with Lecce last week.
- Genoa arrives in Rome unbeaten in five games since the start of 2026 under new manager Daniele De Rossi.
- Lazio has won just four league games at Stadio Olimpico this season and none in 2026.
- Genoa pulled off a remarkable comeback victory against Bologna (3-2) after trailing by two goals.
- Lazio recently lost key players Taty Castellanos and Matteo Guendouzi during the transfer window.
- The reverse fixture in September saw Lazio dominate with a 3-0 victory at Genoa.
On This Page
Lazio vs Genoa Preview and Prediction
Lazio enters this fixture in crisis mode. Manager Maurizio Sarri delivered another frustrated sermon after his team’s goalless draw at Lecce, suggesting the club could face a relegation fight if their mentality doesn’t improve.
The Biancocelesti lost 3-0 at home to Como just days before the Lecce stalemate, highlighting their current struggles.
The squad has been depleted during the January transfer window.
Castellanos and Guendouzi have departed, while Greek goalkeeper Christos Mandas recently joined Bournemouth.
These exits have left Sarri working with an already thin roster.
However, new signings Kenneth Taylor, Petar Ratkov, and Italy international Daniel Maldini have arrived to provide reinforcements.
Genoa travels to the capital with renewed confidence. De Rossi, a Roma legend who will be doubly motivated to beat Lazio, has transformed the team’s fortunes since taking charge.
The Grifone were drifting toward Serie B before his arrival but have now secured five consecutive matches without defeat.
Their most recent performance showcased their fighting spirit. Trailing 2-0 at home to Bologna, Genoa capitalized when their opponents went down to ten men.
Junior Messias scored a dramatic late winner that sent Stadio Ferraris into celebration. This resilience will serve them well in hostile territory.
Expected Lazio vs Genoa Lineups
Lazio Expected Starting XI (4-3-3)
Goalkeeper: Provedel
Defenders: Lazzari (Right-back), Gila (Center-back), Romagnoli (Center-back), Marusic (Left-back)
Midfielders: Basic (Central midfielder), Cataldi (Central midfielder), Taylor (Central midfielder)
Forwards: Cancellieri (Right winger), Ratkov (Striker), Zaccagni (Left winger)
Genoa Expected Starting XI (3-5-2)
Goalkeeper: Leali
Defenders: Marcandalli (Right center-back), Ostigard (Center-back), Vasquez (Left center-back)
Midfielders: Norton-Cuffy (Right wing-back), Frendrup (Central midfielder), Malinovskyi (Central midfielder), Ellertsson (Central midfielder), Martin (Left wing-back)
Forwards: Vitinha (Striker), Colombo (Striker)
Key Notes:
- Daniel Maldini may feature from the bench for Lazio after his recent arrival.
- Leo Ostigard returns for Genoa after serving a one-match suspension.
- Lazio captain Mattia Zaccagni and Matteo Cancellieri are joint-top scorers with 3 goals each.
- Lorenzo Colombo leads Genoa’s attack with 5 league goals this season.
Tactical Analysis and Formations
Lazio typically deploys a 4-3-3 formation under Sarri, emphasizing possession-based football and quick transitions.
However, their attacking output has been disappointing this season.
The team struggles to create clear chances, with captain Mattia Zaccagni and Matteo Cancellieri joint-top scorers with just three league goals each.
The expected lineup features Provedel in goal, protected by a back four of Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, and Marusic.
The midfield trio of Basic, Cataldi, and new signing Taylor will control tempo.
The front three should include Cancellieri, Ratkov, and Zaccagni, with Maldini potentially making his debut from the bench.
Genoa favors a 3-5-2 system that provides defensive solidity while allowing wing-backs to push forward.
De Rossi has maintained this structure, which suits their personnel. The formation enables them to absorb pressure and strike on the counter-attack.
Leali guards the net behind a three-man defense of Marcandalli, Ostigard, and Vasquez.
Norton-Cuffy and Martin operate as wing-backs, supporting central midfielders Frendrup, Malinovskyi, and Ellertsson.
The strike partnership of Vitinha and Lorenzo Colombo leads the attack, though Colombo has scored just one of his five league goals away from home.
Team Injuries and Availability
Lazio’s injury list includes Samuel Gigot and Patric, both sidelined with unspecified fitness issues.
Nicolo Rovella remains unavailable as he continues recovering from a lengthy layoff.
These absences further strain Sarri’s limited squad depth.
The recent departures compound these problems, leaving the manager with fewer rotation options.
Genoa reports three players unavailable.
Albert Gronbaek and Benjamin Siegrist miss out through injury.
New loan signing Tommaso Baldanzi from Roma cannot feature yet due to fitness concerns.
Positively, center-back Leo Ostigard returns after serving a one-match suspension.
His presence strengthens the defensive line, likely pushing Sebastian Otoa to the bench.
The key injury that could shift the game involves Rovella’s absence for Lazio. The midfielder provides crucial ball progression and defensive screening.
Without him, the Biancocelesti lack balance in the middle third.
For Genoa, having Ostigard back adds aerial strength and organizational leadership that proved vital in their recent clean sheets.
Head-to-Head Analysis
The historical record heavily favors Lazio.
They have won seven of the last nine home meetings with Genoa, including the 3-0 triumph earlier this season.
The Grifone’s struggles at Stadio Olimpico reflect a deeper psychological barrier they must overcome.
Recent encounters tell a stark story. Genoa has lost four consecutive Serie A matches against Lazio without scoring a single goal.
Looking further back, they have managed just one clean sheet across the last 17 meetings between these sides.
This defensive fragility against Lazio represents a significant concern.
The last five head-to-head results show Lazio’s dominance: 3-0 (September 2025), 2-0 (April 2025), 3-0 (October 2024), 1-0 (April 2024), and 1-0 (December 2023 Coppa Italia).
Genoa hasn’t beaten Lazio since before this sequence began, highlighting the mountain they must climb.
Key Players to Watch
Mattia Zaccagni leads Lazio’s attacking efforts despite modest numbers. The captain’s movement between the lines creates space for teammates.
His ability to drift wide and cut inside makes him unpredictable. Zaccagni scored in the reverse fixture and will target Genoa’s defense again.
Daniel Maldini could make an immediate impact after joining on loan from Atalanta.
The Italy international brings technical quality and creative vision that Lazio desperately needs.
His famous surname carries weight, but his performances for Monza earlier this season demonstrated genuine talent.
Junior Messias represents Genoa’s biggest threat. The Brazilian scored the dramatic winner against Bologna and possesses the quality to hurt any defense.
His direct running and shooting ability from distance give Genoa an outlet when under pressure.
Lorenzo Colombo must improve his away record. The striker has netted five league goals but only one on the road.
Breaking this pattern at Stadio Olimpico would boost Genoa’s survival hopes significantly. His movement and finishing will test Lazio’s center-backs.
Current Serie A Standings
Lazio stands in 9th position with 29 points from 22 matches (7 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses), scoring 21 goals and conceding 19.
The capital club sits 11 points behind sixth-placed Como in the race for European qualification.
Their recent form shows inconsistency with just one win in their last five league matches.
Genoa occupies 13th place with 23 points from 22 games (5 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses), netting 25 goals while allowing 31.
The Ligurian side has climbed six points clear of the relegation zone thanks to their recent unbeaten run.
Their improved form under De Rossi has provided crucial breathing room in the survival battle.
Where to Watch Live?
The match broadcasts globally across multiple platforms.
In Italy, DAZN Italia holds exclusive rights with coverage on 214 DAZN Zona.
UK and Ireland viewers can watch via DAZN UK. United States fans access the game through Paramount+, fuboTV, DAZN USA, and FOX Deportes.
European coverage includes DAZN services in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Spain, France, and Belgium.
Asian markets receive broadcasts through beIN Sports (Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand), Astro (Malaysia, Brunei), and various regional providers.
Latin American audiences watch via Disney+ Premium across multiple territories.
Lazio vs Genoa Prediction
Lazio’s home advantage and superior head-to-head record suggest they should win.
However, their current crisis and Genoa’s momentum create uncertainty.
The Biancocelesti have won just four home league games this season and appear vulnerable.
Genoa’s defensive organization under De Rossi makes them difficult to break down.
Their recent unbeaten run demonstrates improved resilience. The visitors will defend deep and look to exploit Lazio’s defensive transitions.
The most likely outcome sees a low-scoring draw. Lazio lacks the attacking firepower to dominate, while Genoa’s defensive approach limits their own goal threat.
Both teams need points desperately, which may produce cautious football. A 1-1 result reflects the current form and tactical approaches of both sides.
Genoa’s inability to score against Lazio in recent years works against them, but their improved defensive structure should prevent a heavy defeat.
Lazio’s home struggles and squad depletion prevent confidence in their victory.
This match appears destined for a share of the points, continuing both teams’ frustrating seasons.
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FAQs
Where To Watch Lazio vs Genoa Live?
Fans can watch Lazio vs Genoa live on DAZN Italia in Italy, DAZN UK in the United Kingdom, Paramount+ and fuboTV in the United States, and beIN Sports Connect in Australia, with over 100 countries receiving broadcast coverage through regional DAZN platforms and official Serie A rights holders on Friday, January 31, 2026.
Who Will Win Lazio vs Genoa Match?
Neither team will win the Lazio vs Genoa match as both sides will likely share points in a 1-1 draw, with Lazio’s current crisis mode after losing key players and winning zero home games in 2026 offsetting their historical dominance against Genoa’s five-match unbeaten run under new manager Daniele De Rossi.
What is Lazio vs Genoa Match Kick-Off Time?
Lazio vs Genoa kicks off at 1:15 AM on Saturday, January 31, 2026 (time varies by timezone), at Stadio Olimpico in Rome for Serie A Matchweek 23, with the Friday evening fixture scheduled as the opening game of the weekend’s Italian top-flight action.
Are There Any Injuries in Lazio vs Genoa Match?
Lazio will miss Samuel Gigot, Patric, and Nicolo Rovella through injuries while Genoa cannot field Albert Gronbaek, Benjamin Siegrist, and new signing Tommaso Baldanzi, though Genoa’s Leo Ostigard returns after suspension to strengthen their three-man defensive line for the crucial Serie A encounter.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For Lazio vs Genoa Match?
The predicted score for Lazio vs Genoa is 1-1, as Lazio’s attacking struggles with joint-top scorers Zaccagni and Cancellieri having only three goals each meets Genoa’s defensive resilience that earned five consecutive unbeaten matches, while historical data shows Genoa failed to score in their last four meetings against Lazio.
Genoa Standing with Points?
Genoa occupies 13th position in Serie A with 23 points from 22 matches after recording 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, sitting six points above the relegation zone with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded under new manager Daniele De Rossi’s guidance.
Lazio Standing With Points?
Lazio sits in 9th position in Serie A with 29 points from 22 matches after achieving 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, standing 11 points behind sixth-placed Como in the European qualification race with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded despite manager Maurizio Sarri’s criticism of the squad’s mentality.