Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction: Newcastle United and Bournemouth are expected to draw 1-1 at St. James’ Park in Premier League Gameweek 33 on 18 April 2026, as Newcastle’s poor home form (four losses in five) and missing midfielders Joelinton (suspended) and Bruno Guimaraes (injured) weaken their control, while Bournemouth’s 12-match unbeaten Premier League run and strong defensive away record (just three goals conceded in six road games) make them difficult to beat, though both teams scoring remains highly likely given that both sides have found the net in Newcastle’s last seven home matches.
Key Insights
- Newcastle United host AFC Bournemouth at St. James’ Park on Saturday, 18 April 2026, with kickoff at 7:30 PM (local time) in Premier League Gameweek 33.
- Newcastle sit 14th in the Premier League table with 42 points from 32 matches, while Bournemouth are 11th with 45 points.
- Newcastle have lost three consecutive matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 collapse at Crystal Palace last weekend.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in 12 consecutive Premier League games, a club record, and beat Arsenal 2-1 in their last outing.
- Andoni Iraola confirmed his departure from Bournemouth at the end of the season, making this his first match since the announcement.
- Newcastle are winless in their last seven Premier League meetings against Bournemouth.
- Joelinton serves a two-match suspension after accumulating 10 yellow cards this season.
- Sports Mole predicts a 1-1 draw between the two sides.
Match Overview
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth |
| Competition | Premier League 2025/26 — Gameweek 33 |
| Date | Saturday, 18 April 2026 |
| Kickoff | 7:30 PM (local UK time) |
| Venue | St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne |
| Newcastle League Position | 14th (42 points) |
| Bournemouth League Position | 11th (45 points) |
| Newcastle Form (League) | L-L-W-W-L-L |
| Bournemouth Form (League) | W-D-D-D-D-D |
On This Page
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Preview: What Is at Stake and Why This Match Matters
Eddie Howe finds himself under the most intense scrutiny of his Newcastle tenure.
The Magpies have dropped to 14th — a position that looked unthinkable at the start of the campaign — and their recent run of four defeats in six league matches has eroded confidence at St. James’ Park.
Newcastle have now lost seven Premier League games this season after scoring first, the worst record of its kind in the competition’s history. Six home league defeats, four in the last five, represent Howe’s worst home record since taking charge.
For Bournemouth, the narrative is entirely different. Iraola’s men arrive on Tyneside riding a 12-match unbeaten Premier League streak, having conceded just three goals in their last six away fixtures.
The Spaniard’s decision to leave at season’s end adds emotional weight to every remaining fixture.
Iraola has been linked with several high-profile jobs — including, ironically, Newcastle themselves — and a strong finish could shape his next destination.
Howe left Bournemouth years ago, and now the man who elevated the Cherries to new heights could potentially replace him on Tyneside. Football’s cyclical nature is on full display.
Predicted Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Lineups and Formation
Newcastle United (4-3-3)
Aaron Ramsdale; Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall; Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey; Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Anthony Gordon.
Howe loses Joelinton to a two-match ban, and Jacob Ramsey is the most likely replacement in an advanced midfield role.
Joe Willock and Nick Woltemade are alternatives. William Osula should retain his starting spot after his improvised finish at Selhurst Park.
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Nikola Petrovic; Matias Jimenez, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert; Ryan Christie, Alex Scott; Rayan Ait-Nouri, Amine Kroupi, Marcus Tavernier; Evanilson.
Iraola has no fresh injury concerns from the Arsenal victory. Alex Scott, who scored the winner at the Emirates, partners Christie in the double pivot.
Tyler Adams returned from the bench last week but is unlikely to displace the in-form midfield pair.
Injuries and Suspensions — The Full Picture
Newcastle United
- Joelinton — Suspended (10th yellow card, two-match ban). This is the most significant absence. His energy, physicality, and pressing ability in midfield are irreplaceable.
- Emil Krafth — Knee injury. Long-term absentee.
- Fabian Schar — Ankle injury. Remains sidelined.
- Bruno Guimaraes — Illness/thigh issue. Howe has targeted the Arsenal match (later in the schedule) as his potential return date. His absence strips Newcastle of their most creative midfielder.
Bournemouth
- Lewis Cook — Thigh injury. Recovery is taking longer than expected.
- Justin Kluivert — Knee problem. The winger who scored a hat-trick at St. James’ Park in this exact fixture last season remains unavailable.
- Julio Soler — Thigh injury. Could return to the squad for this match.
Key absences that could shift the game
Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton’s combined absence leaves Newcastle’s midfield significantly weakened in terms of ball retention and defensive intensity.
For Bournemouth, Kluivert’s absence removes a player with a proven track record of hurting Newcastle specifically.
Also Read Blackburn Rovers vs Coventry City Prediction.
Head-to-Head Record
The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Bournemouth. Newcastle have failed to win any of their last seven Premier League meetings with the Cherries — a run stretching back to February 2024. In that span, Bournemouth have scored in every single Premier League visit to St. James’ Park.
Recent results between the sides:
Newcastle did beat Bournemouth 4-3 in the FA Cup third round in January 2026, but that required extra time after trailing 2-2 in normal play.
The September 2025 league meeting at the Vitality Stadium ended 0-0. Last season’s corresponding fixture at St. James’ Park produced a stunning 4-1 Bournemouth victory, with Kluivert netting a hat-trick.
The August 2024 meeting finished 1-1, and the February 2024 clash ended 2-2.
Both teams have scored in Newcastle’s last seven home matches across all competitions, which strongly suggests goals at both ends on Saturday.
Tactical Analysis and Key Players to Watch
Newcastle’s vulnerability from winning positions is the defining tactical issue. Howe’s side struggle to manage games after taking the lead, often sitting deeper and inviting pressure rather than maintaining their attacking intensity.
The absence of Guimaraes compounds this — without his ability to control tempo, Newcastle’s transitions become disjointed.
Anthony Gordon remains Newcastle’s most dangerous attacking outlet. His direct running and delivery from the left flank will be crucial against a Bournemouth side that defends compactly.
Sandro Tonali carries additional responsibility in midfield without Guimaraes and Joelinton alongside him.
For Bournemouth, Alex Scott has emerged as one of the Premier League’s most impressive young midfielders.
His match-winning goal at Arsenal demonstrated his ability to influence big games. Marcus Tavernier provides creativity and work rate from wide positions, while Evanilson has grown into the lone striker role under Iraola’s system.
Iraola’s pressing structure is well-organized and disciplined. Bournemouth defend with a mid-block and transition quickly through the wide areas.
Against a Newcastle side that has conceded 47 goals this season, those rapid transitions could prove decisive.
Premier League Standings
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 62 | 24 | +38 | 70 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 28 | +35 | 64 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 48 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 45 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 42 |
Bournemouth sit just three points behind sixth-placed Chelsea, making European qualification a realistic target. Newcastle, meanwhile, are closer to the relegation zone than the top six — a stark reality check for a club with Champions League ambitions.
Where to Watch Live?
| Country | Broadcasters |
|---|---|
| United Kingdom | Check local Premier League broadcast schedule |
| USA | USA Network, UNIVERSO, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo |
| Canada | DAZN Canada, fuboTV Canada |
| India | Star Sports Select HD1, JioHotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
| Australia | Stan Sport |
| Germany | Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Go, WOW |
| France | Canal+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5 |
| Spain | DAZN Spain |
| Italy | Check local listings |
| Brazil | ESPN Brazil, Disney+ Premium Brazil |
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction
Newcastle’s home form has been dreadful — four defeats in five at St. James’ Park — and the absence of both Joelinton and Bruno Guimaraes leaves their midfield exposed.
Bournemouth’s defensive solidity on the road (three goals conceded in six away matches) and their record against Newcastle make them difficult to beat here.
However, St. James’ Park remains a ground where goals happen. Both teams have scored in Newcastle’s last seven home fixtures, and Bournemouth have found the net in every Premier League visit to Tyneside.
Predicted Score: Newcastle United 1-1 Bournemouth.
A hard-fought draw feels right. Newcastle’s attacking talent should produce a goal, but Bournemouth’s organization and momentum make them extremely tough to overcome.
Iraola’s side extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches, while Howe’s pressure continues to build.
FAQs
Where To Watch Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Live?
Fans can watch Newcastle United vs Bournemouth live on USA Network and UNIVERSO in the USA, DAZN and fuboTV in Canada, Star Sports Select HD1 and JioHotstar in India, Stan Sport in Australia, Sky Sport Premier League in Germany, Canal+ Foot in France, and DAZN Spain in Spain, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 PM local UK time on 18 April 2026.
Who Will Win Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Match?
Neither team is expected to win as Newcastle’s dreadful home form (four defeats in their last five at St. James’ Park) and Bournemouth’s club-record 12-match unbeaten Premier League run point toward a closely contested draw, with Newcastle’s weakened midfield lacking both Joelinton and Bruno Guimaraes while Bournemouth’s defensive solidity on the road makes them extremely hard to break down.
What Is Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Match Kick-Off Time?
Newcastle United vs Bournemouth kicks off at 7:30 PM local UK time on Saturday, 18 April 2026, at St. James’ Park in Newcastle upon Tyne for Premier League Gameweek 33 of the 2025/26 season.
Are There Any Injuries in Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Match?
Newcastle United miss four key players — Joelinton (two-match suspension after 10 yellow cards), Bruno Guimaraes (illness/thigh), Emil Krafth (knee), and Fabian Schar (ankle) — while Bournemouth are without Lewis Cook (thigh), Justin Kluivert (knee, who scored a hat-trick in this exact fixture last season), though Julio Soler (thigh) could return to the squad.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Match?
The correct score prediction for Newcastle United vs Bournemouth is 1-1, based on the fact that both teams have scored in Newcastle’s last seven home matches, Bournemouth have netted in every Premier League visit to St. James’ Park, and Newcastle’s record of losing seven league games this season after scoring first suggests they cannot hold a lead.
Bournemouth Standing With Points?
AFC Bournemouth sit 11th in the Premier League table with 45 points from 32 matches (10 wins, 15 draws, 7 losses), scoring 48 goals and conceding 49 with a goal difference of -1, and they trail sixth-placed Chelsea by just three points in the race for European qualification.
Newcastle United Standing With Points?
Newcastle United sit 14th in the Premier League table with 42 points from 32 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses), scoring 45 goals and conceding 47 with a goal difference of -2, marking their worst league position under Eddie Howe and placing them closer to the relegation zone than the top six.
